At http://gordon-feil-economics.blogspot.ca/2017/07/the-future-of-asia.html
and http://gordon-feil-economics.blogspot.ca/2017/07/the-future-of-europe.html,
I looked at trends in the Far East and Europe respectively.
The real geopolitical power in the world today is
the USA of course. The United States controls the oceans and also the high
atmosphere. In my opinion, this military presence is mainly about protecting
international business….maybe not just American business but UK and French as
well, seeing as how the UK and France combined control as many large
international companies as does the USA.
It isn’t just protection that U.S. forces provide to
business. Some of the most innovative technological development occurs inside
the U.S. armed forces. It passes into the world of commerce and makes American
companies rich.
I don’t foresee the imminent demise of the USA.
Many empires lasted longer than the American one. Some did not.
Nonetheless, projecting offensive power to the periphery of an empire is
costly, especially when the cost of defense is so much less than the cost of
offense. This is not the gunboat era.
There was a time when a boat with a few dozen men could sail down a river in
Africa and breach the defenses of much larger forces --- a hundred killing ten
thousand. No, this is the era when a
$50,000 anti-aircraft gun can destroy a hundred million dollar airplane. But
the USA has many, many hundreds of millions of those dollars, and some
nations do not have many of those fifty thousands.
I think that there will be an increasing variance
between the wealth of America’s richer people and the poverty of her poorest.
Many workers are slaves by a different name, and I believe that millennials are
very vulnerable to that fate. This has
serious implications.
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